Will Pakistan be second time lucky?

2009 T20 world cup final is quite similar compared to last T20 world cup.

• Two Asian giants are in final again.
• Umar Gul and Shahid Afridi is in top form with ball like last world cup.
  Both finalists have new captain.
• Kumar Sangkara is new leader of Sri Lanka and this is his first full assignment as captain like Dhoni in last world cup.
• Sri Lankan opener Tilakratne Dilshan is in top form like Indian opener Gautam Gambhir in last world cup.

Will Pakistan be able to turn the table this time? Let’s see what model tells about this final.

Pakistan fields first

Pakistan won the toss

If Sri Lanka scores <= 157 then Pakistan has winning chance >= 90%.
If Sri Lanka scores >= 183 then Pakistan has winning chance <= 10%.
Cut off score = 168.

Sri Lanka won the toss











If Sri Lanka scores <= 139 then Pakistan has winning chance >= 90%.
If Sri Lanka scores >= 164 then Pakistan has winning chance <= 10%.
Cut off score = 149.

Pakistan bats first

Pakistan won the toss

If Pakistan scores <= 145 then Sri Lanka has winning chance >= 90%.
If Pakistan scores >= 170 then Sri Lanka has winning chance <= 10%.

Cut off score = 155.

Sri Lanka won the toss











If Pakistan scores <= 163 then Sri Lanka has winning chance >= 90%.
If Pakistan scores >= 189 then Sri Lanka has winning chance <= 10%.
Cut off score = 174.