Will South Africa be able to remove 'Choker' tag?

South Africa one of the consistent performers since their return in international cricket is yet to win any ICC trophy. They came close several times but failed to pass the last few hurdle. Most famous failure for South Africa is 1999 World Cup in England. They reached the semi final and tied the match but was eliminated because they had lost to Australia in group stage. Will South Africa be able to remove ‘Choker’ tag this time. Let’s see what model tells about today’s semi final.

South Africa fields first

Toss Won

If Pakistan scores <= 150 then South Africa has winning chance >= 90%.
If Pakistan scores >= 175 then South Africa has winning chance <= 10%.
Cut off Score = 160.

Toss won by Pakistan











If Pakistan scores <= 132 then South Africa has winning chance >= 90%.
If Pakistan scores >= 159 then South Africa has winning chance <= 10%.
Cut off Score = 142.

South Africa bats first
Toss Won











If South Africa scores <= 122 then Pakistan has winning chance >= 90%.
If South Africa scores >= 147 then Pakistan has winning chance <= 10%.
Cut off Score = 135.

Toss won by Pakistan

If South Africa scores <= 140 then Pakistan has winning chance >= 90%.
If South Africa scores >= 165 then Pakistan has winning chance <= 10%.
Cut off Score = 149.